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[ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HOME

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 10:33 am
by Bob's Bitch

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 10:45 am
by corby diamond
Come on everyweeker, lets hear your betting predictions :lol:

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 4:02 pm
by The Godfather
I can't wait for this. :D

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 5:19 pm
by sussexdiamond
The odds could be very interesting as GSP are 63rd ranked team still in the competition.!!

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2013 5:59 pm
by Bobos
The Godfather wrote:I can't wait for this. :D

Me too, a love a full bloodied Cup tie 8-)

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Thu Dec 05, 2013 9:47 pm
by Diamond_ Wolf
corby diamond wrote:Come on everyweeker, lets hear your betting predictions :lol:
Any bankers then Everyweeker? ;) Ashington are evens at home which looks a decent price given their good home record. They were 13/8 so the odds have shortened.

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Fri Dec 06, 2013 12:58 pm
by Everyweeker
Diamond_ Wolf wrote:
corby diamond wrote:Come on everyweeker, lets hear your betting predictions :lol:
Any bankers then Everyweeker? ;) Ashington are evens at home which looks a decent price given their good home record. They were 13/8 so the odds have shortened.
Aren't you all rich enough after I went well in the last round? ;)

Difficult round again, but there are some real tempters if I had the time to look in more detail.

First off, I wouldn't go near us at a best priced 7/20 (Betway). While we've certainly put a few sides to the sword this season, Tuesday night shows that it does not always come easy. I expect we will win, but the price does not interest me in the slightest.

I tipped Kidlington to beat Tavistock as my nap of the last round, but they will have a much tougher test against Bodmin. The Cornish side have a long trip, but plenty of experience in the Vase and in winning games like this (they made it to the 5th round last year, after numerous home draws). I think 7/4 (BetVictor) is too big, especially with a few injuries for the hosts to deal with.

Plymouth Parkway have dumped out better sides than Hallen this year and have another opportunity to advance at home. Having beaten two sides at the top of their Step 5 leagues, and absolutely flying in the league, it would be foolish to underestimate the hosts against a mid-range Step 5 team. However, (10/11) is slightly shorter than I would want. Evens might have tempted me, but I'll leave them at odds on. I expect another win for the home team, however.

Alresford travel to Saltash in good form, and I think they will leave Cornwall as winners. Saltash have only lost once in their last five (including a creditable 0-0 draw at Bodmin) but that loss was a poor 2-0 defeat at home against Torpoint. I'm just not sure they have the class to keep Alresford out, and I think the Evens for the away win at Betway is quite fair.

Having being reinstated, I like Walsall Wood's price at home to Wisbech. Wisbech travelled and won well AET in the West Midlands in the last round against Gornal, and they have been improving in the league (2-1 winners at Yaxley stands out). However, they recently lost 1-0 away at Boston Town and we know first hand that they are no world beaters. Wood's loss against Spalding is no shame, but their 1-0 defeat of Quorn (away) is impressive. Indeed, after a poor start, they are in good nick in the league. I'd make them slight favourites, so 13/8 at Bet Victor is very big.

Shetpton Mallet lost 3-1 against AFC Portchester in the last round, but are another reinstated side. However, in Blackfield and Langley they have opponents who should again be too good for them. I think Betway's 17/20 is too big (I'd make it 4/9) and fully expect a comfortable away win.


As for others, I'm no great Northern League expert, so I'll leave them out. Sholing at evens away at Reading Town looks interesting, as does the 4/5 about Tunbridge Wells at home to Hanworth Villa. Larkhall are also 4/5 at Binfield - I know nothing about the hosts, but Larkhall are another very good side.

So:

Blackfield and Langley 17/20
Walsall Wood 13/8
Alresford Evens (NAP)
Bodmin 7/4

Wouldn't put you off:
Larkhall 4/5
Parkway 10/11

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Fri Dec 06, 2013 2:37 pm
by Bobos
Everyweeker wrote:
Diamond_ Wolf wrote:
corby diamond wrote:Come on everyweeker, lets hear your betting predictions :lol:
Any bankers then Everyweeker? ;) Ashington are evens at home which looks a decent price given their good home record. They were 13/8 so the odds have shortened.
Aren't you all rich enough after I went well in the last round? ;)

Difficult round again, but there are some real tempters if I had the time to look in more detail.

First off, I wouldn't go near us at a best priced 7/20 (Betway). While we've certainly put a few sides to the sword this season, Tuesday night shows that it does not always come easy. I expect we will win, but the price does not interest me in the slightest.

I tipped Kidlington to beat Tavistock as my nap of the last round, but they will have a much tougher test against Bodmin. The Cornish side have a long trip, but plenty of experience in the Vase and in winning games like this (they made it to the 5th round last year, after numerous home draws). I think 7/4 (BetVictor) is too big, especially with a few injuries for the hosts to deal with.

Plymouth Parkway have dumped out better sides than Hallen this year and have another opportunity to advance at home. Having beaten two sides at the top of their Step 5 leagues, and absolutely flying in the league, it would be foolish to underestimate the hosts against a mid-range Step 5 team. However, (10/11) is slightly shorter than I would want. Evens might have tempted me, but I'll leave them at odds on. I expect another win for the home team, however.

Alresford travel to Saltash in good form, and I think they will leave Cornwall as winners. Saltash have only lost once in their last five (including a creditable 0-0 draw at Bodmin) but that loss was a poor 2-0 defeat at home against Torpoint. I'm just not sure they have the class to keep Alresford out, and I think the Evens for the away win at Betway is quite fair.

Having being reinstated, I like Walsall Wood's price at home to Wisbech. Wisbech travelled and won well AET in the West Midlands in the last round against Gornal, and they have been improving in the league (2-1 winners at Yaxley stands out). However, they recently lost 1-0 away at Boston Town and we know first hand that they are no world beaters. Wood's loss against Spalding is no shame, but their 1-0 defeat of Quorn (away) is impressive. Indeed, after a poor start, they are in good nick in the league. I'd make them slight favourites, so 13/8 at Bet Victor is very big.

Shetpton Mallet lost 3-1 against AFC Portchester in the last round, but are another reinstated side. However, in Blackfield and Langley they have opponents who should again be too good for them. I think Betway's 17/20 is too big (I'd make it 4/9) and fully expect a comfortable away win.


As for others, I'm no great Northern League expert, so I'll leave them out. Sholing at evens away at Reading Town looks interesting, as does the 4/5 about Tunbridge Wells at home to Hanworth Villa. Larkhall are also 4/5 at Binfield - I know nothing about the hosts, but Larkhall are another very good side.

So:

Blackfield and Langley 17/20
Walsall Wood 13/8
Alresford Evens (NAP)
Bodmin 7/4

Wouldn't put you off:
Larkhall 4/5
Parkway 10/11

You are John McCrerick and I claim my £5 :lol:

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Fri Dec 06, 2013 2:40 pm
by burger monster
Good luck for your FA Vase match tomorrow. Would be good to see you get your win and progress thru to the next round.

Enjoy the game tomorrow and the best of luck to you all.

Haydn

Re: [ Sat 7th Dec ] v Graham St Prims, KO 3pm, FA VASE 3R HO

Posted: Fri Dec 06, 2013 7:12 pm
by AFCRD_Dan
Unfortunately won't be at the game tomorrow, as I'm working :(

But I'll be there in heart, and hopefully when I get home there will be a positive result waiting for me! :)