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2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 9:22 am
by Pigman
Got the day off, so over a nice coffee I've just been looking at the nearest rivals to us and trying to predict how many points will secure us a play-off spot.

Assuming we beat the scum tomorrow, Crawley and Mansfield (which I think we will) I reckon the individual points haul of our rivals, looking at the games they have left, will be:

Scum (being VERY generous here) = 12 from 18 points available = 72 points
AFC Dons = 14 from 24 = 71 points
Mansfield = 13 from 18 = 71
Crawley = 13 from 18 = 68

That leaves us (currently on 67 points) just 6 points off guaranteeing at least a 5th place finish. Assuming (as I have done above) that we will beat 3 out of 4 of these rivals, we'd already be there by the time we play Mansfield. I think a realistic target for us to gain a play-off spot is now 75 points, secure that and we'll be there I reckon.

I know its dangerous to think like this, one defeat could dent confidence and make us nervous (bit like the nervous 90's in cricket) but I look at the performance on Saturday, hard, uncompromising, full of hard work and effort, and I can't see us not winning 3 out of 7 matches - do that by taking points off our nearest rivals and we make the task easier.

Forget 1st, 2nd or 3rd spots, 5th will do me !! Gain the points on the board early enough and we could afford to rest a few players in the last 2 games, get all those aches and pains sorted before the semi's. I hope Stevenage, Oxford and Luton really stand toe to toe and battle it out all the way, making it a really close and tense finale, because whoever misses out will be deflated and mentally battered and will really have to pick themselves up for the play-offs, not an easy task when you've missed out on the ultimate prize so narrowly.

I'm fully aware it could all blow up in our faces yet, but I can almost taste the play-offs now, it'd be cruel (and take a monumental effort on behalf of our rivals) to see us ousted from the top 5 places now.

Re: 2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 9:36 am
by godber
Actually although it won't secure our place in the play offs,but I think a win tomorrow night will see us just about clear & then it really would be ours to mess up which I can't see happening

Re: 2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 9:53 am
by Pigman
godber wrote:Actually although it won't secure our place in the play offs,but I think a win tomorrow night will see us just about clear & then it really would be ours to mess up which I can't see happening
It'd be a massive step in the right direction, and what better place to do that eh? Derby games are unpredictable though and I fully expect the scum to raise their game against us.

Win tomorrow, win Friday and then no matter what happens against Kiddy we should secure the points against Ebbsfleet. If we still need them, the match at Mansfield will be a cracker !! I'm booked out of work already at 3pm that day so I can get up there in time, I think I'll just miss the Wrexham and Kiddy games for this season, really wish I could make them all, sadly I can't !!

Re: 2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 11:29 am
by Bob's Bitch
Win tomorrow and it'd be a massive collapse for us not to get at least 5th place. We'd have to lose to Crawley, Kiddy AND Ebbsfleet and that'd take some doing!

Re: 2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 1:12 pm
by DiamondsFan
We're only just over 3 weeks away from the end of the season too. This last 4 months has just whizzed past - time flies when you're having fun :D :D

Win against K*ttering tomorrow night is essential. Easy points on paper against some floundering incest minnows struggling at home, but I'm sure they'll put up a fight for their cup final.

Saying that, I do think there is still a potential scare left in the season and I think we'll leave it til the last moments before securing playoffs.

Re: 2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 1:19 pm
by singa
Win against K*ttering tomorrow night is essential. Easy points on paper against some floundering incest minnows :lol: :lol: :lol: struggling at home, but I'm sure they'll put up a fight for their cup final ahahahahaha

Re: 2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 3:58 pm
by TheIncognitoKid
DiamondsFan wrote:We're only just over 3 weeks away from the end of the season too. This last 4 months has just whizzed past - time flies when you're having fun :D :D

Win against K*ttering tomorrow night is essential. Easy points on paper against some floundering incest minnows struggling at home, but I'm sure they'll put up a fight for their cup final.

Saying that, I do think there is still a potential scare left in the season and I think we'll leave it til the last moments before securing playoffs.
Will be if we lose our match at home to Ebbsfleet, cause that looks like the only cert on paper (appart from 2moz of course)! ;)

Re: 2 wins away? 3 to be sure?

Posted: Mon Mar 29, 2010 4:14 pm
by Welsh
I thought a couple of weeks ago that mid-table form (i.e. win one, lose one, draw one) will be enough to see us into the play-offs. I will be more than happy with 5th, so I think 2 wins and a couple of draws will do. Maybe only just, but who cares!!